Fannie Mae: Mortgage Originations Will Reach $1.99 Trillion in 2025

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Mortgage originations will rise to $1.99 trillion in 2025 and $2.38 trillion in 2026, according to the latest economic outlook from Fannie Mae.

That’s up compared with last month’s forecast of $1.98 trillion and $2.33 trillion, respectively. 

Fannie Mae has revised its real gross domestic product (GDP) growth outlook for 2025 to 0.7%.

For 2026, it is forecasting 2.0% GDP growth.

That’s up from 0.5% and 1.9% GDP growth in 2025 and 2026 in its previous forecast.

Fannie Mae now expects the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise 3.5% in 2025, unchanged from its April forecast.

Core CPI is expected to rise 3.8% in 2025 – down from 3.9% previously – and 2.6% in 2026, according to the firm.

Mortgage rates are forecast to end 2025 at 6.1% and 2026 at 5.8% – down from the previous forecast of 6.2% and 6.0%.

Fannie Mae forecasts home sales will rise to 4.92 million in 2025.

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