Shadow inventory in the U.S. has fallen to 1.7 million homes – the lowest level since August 2008 – and foreclosure inventory is down 34% nationally from a year ago, according to CoreLogic's November National Foreclosure Report, with a supplement featuring quarterly shadow inventory data as of October 2013.
According to CoreLogic analysis, there were 46,000 completed foreclosures in the U.S. in November 2013, down from 64,000 in November 2012 – a year-over-year decrease of 29%. On a month-over-month basis, completed foreclosures decreased 8.3%, from 50,000 in October 2013.
National residential shadow inventory was 1.7 million homes as of October 2013, accounting for a value of $256 billion, which is down 26.4% from $348 billion from the year before, according to the report.
CoreLogic says completed foreclosures are an indication of the total number of homes actually lost to foreclosure. As a basis of comparison to the 46,000 completed foreclosures reported for November 2013, completed foreclosures averaged 21,000 per month nationwide between 2000 and 2006 before the decline in the housing market in 2007. Since the financial crisis began in September 2008, there have been approximately 4.7 million completed foreclosures across the country, according to the company.
As of November 2013, approximately 812,000 homes in the U.S. were in some stage of foreclosure (known as the foreclosure inventory) compared to 1.2 million in November 2012 – a year-over-year decrease of 34%. Month over month, the foreclosure inventory was down 4.6% from October 2013 to November 2013. The foreclosure inventory as of November 2013 represented 2.1% of all homes with a mortgage, compared to 3% in November 2012, CoreLogic reports.
At the end of November 2013, there were fewer than 2 million mortgages, or 5%, in serious delinquency – defined as 90 days or more past-due, including those loans in foreclosure or real estate owned (REO). CoreLogic says the rate of seriously delinquent mortgages is at its lowest level since November 2008.
"Nationally, loan performance continues to improve. The rate of seriously delinquent loans is at a new five-year low, down 26 percent relative to a year ago," says Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. "The shadow inventory continues to decline as well, decreasing at an average monthly rate of 46,000 units over the last year. Healthy market levels of shadow inventory are around 650,000 units, so there is more to be done, but the trend is in the right direction."
"Consumer confidence is definitely up as the economic rebound gathers more steam," adds Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. "As the negative equity crisis abates and home prices continue to rise, most people are prioritizing the payment of their mortgage obligations. The result is a double-digit drop in the inventory of seriously delinquent homes in 48 states as of October."
CoreLogic reports the following foreclosure highlights from the report:
-The five states with the highest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in November 2013 were Florida (115,000), Michigan (54,000), California (42,000), Texas (40,000) and Georgia (36,000). These five states account for almost half of all completed foreclosures nationally.
-The five states with the lowest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in November 2013 were District of Columbia (51), North Dakota (401), Hawaii (480), West Virginia (524) and Wyoming (716).
-The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of all mortgaged homes as of November 2013 were Florida (6.6%), New Jersey (6.5%), New York (4.7%), Maine (3.5%) and Connecticut (3.5%).
-The five states with the lowest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of all mortgaged homes as of November 2013 were Wyoming (0.4%), Alaska (0.5%), North Dakota (0.6%), Nebraska (0.6%) and Colorado (0.6%).
CoreLogic gives the following shadow inventory highlights:
-As of November 2013, shadow inventory was 1.7 million properties, and almost half are delinquent but not yet foreclosed.
-The shadow inventory is down 24% compared to one year ago.
-The value of shadow inventory in November 2013 was $256 billion, down 26.4% from $348 billion a year ago and down 15.9% from $304 billion six months ago.
CoreLogic's entire report can be found here.